Stock-Only Strategy Trumps 60/40 Mix for Long-Term Returns

Stock-Only Strategy Trumps 60/40 Mix for Long-Term Returns

Long-term investors who focus solely on equities can expect higher returns than those who diversify with fixed-income securities, according to a recent study. The study challenges the conventional understanding that a 60% allocation to stocks and 40% allocation to bonds is the ideal strategy for maximizing returns. Simulation results showed that a portfolio split evenly between domestic and international stocks can yield over $1 million by retirement, while solely focusing on domestic stocks can result in slightly lower returns. In contrast, the 60/40 equity-bond mix averaged $760,000, and a bond-only strategy fell significantly short. The researchers highlighted that bonds offered little value for the type of long-term investors considered in the study. The study also revealed that the correlation between the movements of stocks and bonds diminished the case for diversification. Overall, the 60/40 mix has faced criticism recently due to underperformance challenges, with some market participants advocating for alternative approaches involving separate assets or investment avenues.

UBS advises investors to focus on bonds despite market struggles

UBS advises investors to focus on bonds despite market struggles

UBS advises investors to focus on bonds rather than stocks despite the recent struggles in the fixed-income market. The Swiss bank predicts that the 10-year US Treasury yield will decrease to 3.5% by the first half of 2024, potentially yielding returns of around 13% for bondholders. UBS believes that bonds are an effective hedge for portfolios as US growth slows and the Federal Reserve finishes its tightening campaign. However, UBS remains cautious on global stocks due to uncertainty about monetary policy.

Jeff Gundlach Warns of Looming Recession as Bond Yields Soar

Jeff Gundlach Warns of Looming Recession as Bond Yields Soar

Renowned investor Jeff Gundlach warns of an approaching recession as bond yields soar. The narrowing spread between 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields indicates a severe economic downturn. Gundlach highlights the de-inversion of the US Treasury yield curve as a cause for concern, urging people to be on high alert for a recession. Other experts, including David Lebovitz from JPMorgan Asset Management, share these concerns and predict potential risks in the bond market sell-off.